Clear geopolitical analysis
Introduction Since the detonation of the first atomic bomb in 1945, nuclear weapons have reshaped international politics, military strategy, and humanity’s perception of existential risk. The unprecedented destructive power demonstrated during the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki revealed that a single weapon could devastate an entire city. In the decades that followed, several countries … Read more
Introduction The recent escalation of tensions surrounding Iran has generated profound debate among Western allies regarding the legality, legitimacy, and strategic consequences of military action in the Middle East. While several governments have supported the United States’ confrontational approach toward Tehran, Spain has adopted a more cautious and legally grounded position. Madrid’s response reflects a … Read more
The strategic logic guiding Iran’s confrontation with Israel and the United States reflects a mixture of military pragmatism, political signaling, and psychological warfare. Although the geopolitical context of the twenty-first century differs substantially from that of the early 1990s, notable similarities exist between Iran’s current strategic posture and the approach adopted by Saddam Hussein during … Read more
Summary Between late February and early March 2026, coordinated strikes by the United States and Israel against targets inside the Islamic Republic of Iran produced a dramatic escalation: explosions in multiple Iranian cities, substantial Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks against Israeli territory and U.S. forces in the region, and significant civilian casualties and infrastructure … Read more
The current wave of protests in Iran reflects more than a cyclical episode of social unrest; it exposes deep structural vulnerabilities within the Islamic Republic that economic repression and coercive force alone can no longer fully contain.
At the structural level, Iran’s crisis is driven by a convergence of long-term economic decline, demographic pressure, and political stagnation. High inflation, currency devaluation, and chronic unemployment—especially among urban youth—have steadily eroded the regime’s social contract. Subsidies and welfare mechanisms that once mitigated public anger are increasingly unsustainable, limiting the state’s capacity to “buy” stability.