Clear geopolitical analysis
Subtitle: A Democratic Blueprint for Reforming the European Union Europe’s Real Problem Is Not Federalization The debate surrounding the future of the European Union has long been dominated by a familiar question: should Europe become a federation, or should it remain primarily a union of sovereign states? While this discussion continues to shape political discourse … Read more
History offers many examples of military victories that failed to deliver lasting political gains. One of the most famous comes from the War of the Austrian Succession (1740–1748), when France won important battles and occupied significant territories, only to return most of its conquests in the peace settlement. Many contemporaries felt that French military achievements had been squandered by diplomacy, giving rise to the expression “bête comme la paix” (“stupid as the peace”). While France had often prevailed on the battlefield, it was Prussia that emerged as the conflict’s principal beneficiary by retaining the rich province of Silesia. Nearly three centuries later, a similar question is being asked about the confrontation between the United States and Iran: did Washington achieve a military victory only to discover that winning the peace may prove far more difficult than winning the war?
The war between Russia and Ukraine has revived one of the most dangerous questions in modern geopolitics: what happens when a nuclear power risks losing a conventional war against a non-nuclear state? For decades, nuclear strategy was built around the assumption that nuclear-armed states would rarely face existential military defeat. Nuclear weapons themselves were supposed … Read more
Triangular diplomacy has shaped global politics for more than seven decades. The concept refers to the strategic interaction between three major powers, each attempting to balance, manipulate, or cooperate with the others in order to maximize its own geopolitical advantage. During the Cold War, the triangle formed by the United States, the Soviet Union, and Communist China fundamentally transformed the international system. Today, a new version of triangular diplomacy is emerging, one with profound implications for the European Union.
In recent years, BRICS has evolved from a loose economic concept into one of the most discussed geopolitical blocs in the world. Originally formed by Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, the organization now seeks to present itself as a major alternative voice to the Western-led international order. Supporters see BRICS as a platform for multipolarity, economic cooperation, and reform of global institutions. Critics, however, argue that the bloc suffers from deep internal contradictions, limited cohesion, and unrealistic ambitions.
The North Korean Issue on the International Agenda We may safely say that the North Korean nuclear issue has returned to the forefront of the international agenda in the context of the second term of Donald Trump. The reemergence of this challenge highlights the persistence of a problem that has preoccupied successive White House administrations … Read more
There are ideas that, at first glance, appear unquestionably just. The creation of a Palestinian state is one of them. It seems like the natural, moral, and, for many, inevitable solution. Yet this apparent self-evidence conceals a fundamental problem: what is just in principle is not always sustainable in practice. The refusal of Benjamin Netanyahu … Read more