Clear geopolitical analysis
Why China May Not Need to Invade Taiwan to Defeat It An island does not have to be conquered to be defeated. That proposition has appeared repeatedly throughout modern history. From the naval blockade of Cuba in 1898 to Germany’s submarine campaign against Britain in the First World War, from the strangulation of Japan in … Read more
The phrase “Taiwan is a rebel province” has become so deeply embedded in discussions of the Taiwan Strait that its historical assumptions are rarely examined. The People’s Republic of China (PRC) maintains that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China, temporarily separated from the mainland by the unfinished consequences of the Chinese Civil War. From … Read more
The North Korean Issue on the International Agenda We may safely say that the North Korean nuclear issue has returned to the forefront of the international agenda in the context of the second term of Donald Trump. The reemergence of this challenge highlights the persistence of a problem that has preoccupied successive White House administrations … Read more
Introduction For decades, the possibility of a Chinese military attack on Taiwan has loomed as one of the most consequential geopolitical risks of the 21st century. As China steadily expands its military capability and influence, analysts, military planners, and world leaders are grappling with what a conflict might look like — and what the consequences … Read more